Clinton at State "on track"

How's that for a "definite maybe" or would it more accurately be categorized as a "surefire probably"?

President-elect Barack Obama is "on track" to name Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) as his secretary of state shortly after Thanksgiving, two senior Obama aides said.

Is there some sort of pool where we can bet on how many times the news media will report that she's is or isn't going to accept SoS between now and when she actually does or doesn't accept?